Model picks

Gap is the model's probability minus the book's implied probability at the price shown — positive means the model is higher than the book, negative means the book is. It is a comparison, not a promise: this model is judged on whether its probabilities are true, not on beating the close. Prices are FanDuel's where it priced the pick, otherwise DraftKings'. The moneyline and First TD have the book's margin removed; Anytime TD publishes no “No” side, so it can't be, and its gap is understated by comparison. A dash means nothing was priced.